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Quantifying within-city inequalities in child mortality across neighbourhoods in Accra, Ghana: a Bayesian spatial analysis

Bixby, H; Bennett, JE; Bawah, AA; Arku, RE; Annim, SK; Anum, JD; Mintah, SE; Schmidt, AM; Agyei-Asabere, C; Robinson, BE; et al. Bixby, H; Bennett, JE; Bawah, AA; Arku, RE; Annim, SK; Anum, JD; Mintah, SE; Schmidt, AM; Agyei-Asabere, C; Robinson, BE; Cavanaugh, A; Agyei-Mensah, S; Owusu, G; Ezzati, M; Baumgartner, J (2022) Quantifying within-city inequalities in child mortality across neighbourhoods in Accra, Ghana: a Bayesian spatial analysis. BMJ Open, 12 (1). e054030-e054030. ISSN 2044-6055 https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-054030
SGUL Authors: Bixby, Honor Ruth Heathcote

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Abstract

Objective Countries in sub-Saharan Africa suffer the highest rates of child mortality worldwide. Urban areas tend to have lower mortality than rural areas, but these comparisons likely mask large within-city inequalities. We aimed to estimate rates of under-five mortality (U5M) at the neighbourhood level for Ghana’s Greater Accra Metropolitan Area (GAMA) and measure the extent of intraurban inequalities. Methods We accessed data on >700 000 women aged 25–49 years living in GAMA using the most recent Ghana census (2010). We summarised counts of child births and deaths by five-year age group of women and neighbourhood (n=406) and applied indirect demographic methods to convert the summaries to yearly probabilities of death before age five years. We fitted a Bayesian spatiotemporal model to the neighbourhood U5M probabilities to obtain estimates for the year 2010 and examined their correlations with indicators of neighbourhood living and socioeconomic conditions. Results U5M varied almost five-fold across neighbourhoods in GAMA in 2010, ranging from 28 (95% credible interval (CrI) 8 to 63) to 138 (95% CrI 111 to 167) deaths per 1000 live births. U5M was highest in neighbourhoods of the central urban core and industrial areas, with an average of 95 deaths per 1000 live births across these neighbourhoods. Peri-urban neighbourhoods performed better, on average, but rates varied more across neighbourhoods compared with neighbourhoods in the central urban areas. U5M was negatively correlated with multiple indicators of improved living and socioeconomic conditions among peri-urban neighbourhoods. Among urban neighbourhoods, correlations with these factors were weaker or, in some cases, reversed, including with median household consumption and women’s schooling. Conclusion Reducing child mortality in high-burden urban neighbourhoods in GAMA, where a substantial portion of the urban population resides, should be prioritised as part of continued efforts to meet the Sustainable Development Goal national target of less than 25 deaths per 1000 live births.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Unported (CC BY 4.0) license, which permits others to copy, redistribute, remix, transform and build upon this work for any purpose, provided the original work is properly cited, a link to the licence is given, and indication of whether changes were made. See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
Keywords: community child health, epidemiology, public health, Adult, Bayes Theorem, Child, Child Mortality, Female, Ghana, Humans, Middle Aged, Socioeconomic Factors, Spatial Analysis, Urban Population
SGUL Research Institute / Research Centre: Academic Structure > Population Health Research Institute (INPH)
Journal or Publication Title: BMJ Open
ISSN: 2044-6055
Language: en
Media of Output: Electronic
Related URLs:
Publisher License: Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0
Projects:
Project IDFunderFunder ID
UNSPECIFIEDCanadian Institutes of Health Researchhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000024
209376/Z/17/ZWellcome Trusthttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100004440
Dates:
Date Event
2022-01-13 Published
2021-12-18 Accepted
URI: https://openaccess.sgul.ac.uk/id/eprint/118359
Publisher's version: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-054030

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