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Risk Stratification of Acute Chest Pain in Patients With High‐Sensitivity Troponin T Below the 99th Percentile: A Long‐Term Cohort Study Assessing the Incremental Value of Necrosis and Non‐necrosis Biomarkers to Clinical Risk Scores

Jones, J; Hughes, E; Dobson, R; Ashrafi, R; Heseltine, T; Campbell, M; Collinson, P; Khand, A (2025) Risk Stratification of Acute Chest Pain in Patients With High‐Sensitivity Troponin T Below the 99th Percentile: A Long‐Term Cohort Study Assessing the Incremental Value of Necrosis and Non‐necrosis Biomarkers to Clinical Risk Scores. Journal of the American Heart Association, 14 (20). e040590. ISSN 2047-9980 https://doi.org/10.1161/jaha.124.040590
SGUL Authors: Collinson, Paul

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Abstract

Background Approximately 90% of patients presenting to the emergency department with suspected acute coronary syndrome have acute myocardial infarction excluded, but they remain at risk of major adverse cardiovascular events. This study assessed the long‐term outcomes of such patients, focusing on the incremental value of multiple biomarkers combined with clinical risk scores for risk stratification. Methods In this prospective observational study, 487 patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome but excluded acute myocardial infarction were recruited from a large urban hospital, with a median follow‐up of 5.8 years. The primary end point was major adverse cardiovascular events, including adjudicated type 1 myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring urgent revascularization, and cardiovascular death. Biomarkers assessed were hs‐cTnT (high‐sensitivity cardiac troponin T), hs‐cTnI (high‐sensitivity cardiac troponin I), HFABP (heart‐type fatty acid binding protein), GDF‐15 (growth differentiation factor 15), NT‐proBNP (N‐terminal prohormone of brain naturetic peptide), galectin‐3, and hs‐CRP (high‐sensitivity C‐reactive protein (). Statistical methods included receiver operating characteristic analysis, Kaplan–Meier curves, net reclassification index, and Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate biomarker utility independently and combined with Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction and History, ECG, Age, Risk Factors, Troponin scores. Results Of the 487 patients (median age 56 years; 44% female), 9.9% experienced major adverse cardiovascular events. Annualized major adverse cardiovascular events rates for patients with troponin levels below the limit of detection were 0.5% (hs‐cTnT) and 0.7% (hs‐cTnI), with no cardiovascular deaths over 5 years. Both hs‐cTnT and hs‐cTnI levels modestly enhanced risk stratification when added to Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction or History, ECG, Age, Risk Factors, Troponinscores. Of the non‐necrosis biomarkers, only GDF‐15 demonstrated independent prognostic value in multivariable models. Conclusions Hs‐cTnT, hs‐cTnI, and GDF‐15 improve the long‐term risk stratification of the History, ECG, Age, Risk Factors, Troponinand Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction scores in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome and acute myocardial infarction excluded. Hs‐cTn of either type at or below limit of detection was associated with excellent short‐ and long‐term outcomes. Registration URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03628586.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: © 2025 The Author(s). Published on behalf of the American Heart Association, Inc., by Wiley. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution‐NonCommercial‐NoDerivs License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
Keywords: acute coronary syndrome, biomarkers, cohort study
SGUL Research Institute / Research Centre: Academic Structure > Cardiovascular & Genomics Research Institute
Academic Structure > Cardiovascular & Genomics Research Institute > Clinical Cardiology
Journal or Publication Title: Journal of the American Heart Association
ISSN: 2047-9980
Language: en
Media of Output: Print-Electronic
Related URLs:
Publisher License: Creative Commons: Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0
Projects:
Project IDFunderFunder ID
UNSPECIFIEDAintree Cardiology GroupUNSPECIFIED
UNSPECIFIEDAbbott Diagnosticshttps://doi.org/10.13039/100014386
UNSPECIFIEDDragon's DenUNSPECIFIED
UNSPECIFIEDUniversity of AintreeUNSPECIFIED
PubMed ID: 41085181
Dates:
Date Event
2025-10-21 Published
2025-10-14 Published Online
2025-04-30 Accepted
Go to PubMed abstract
URI: https://openaccess.sgul.ac.uk/id/eprint/118007
Publisher's version: https://doi.org/10.1161/jaha.124.040590

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