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Comparing the Power of Low vs High-Precision Methods for Measuring E. coli in Drinking Water in Low-Resource Settings

Sosa-Moreno, A; Lee, GO; Wu, Z; Fanny, SA; Trueba, G; Cooper, PJ; Levy, K; Eisenberg, JNS (2025) Comparing the Power of Low vs High-Precision Methods for Measuring E. coli in Drinking Water in Low-Resource Settings. ACS ES&T WATER, 5 (5). pp. 2244-2254. ISSN 2690-0637 https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestwater.4c01117
SGUL Authors: Cooper, Philip John

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Abstract

Methods to measure Escherichia coli concentrations in water vary in precision, complexity, and cost. Low-precision methods are more affordable, faster, and simpler to implement in low-resource settings but may reduce statistical power. We compared the statistical power of low- and high-precision methods using data from UNICEF’s Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys across 11 low-income regions, and from a birth cohort study in Ecuador. Both data sets included continuous E. coli concentrations from high-precision methods, which we categorized to emulate low-precision methods outcomes. Using logistic regression, we modeled associations between water quality and two dichotomous outcomes: water treatment (treated/untreated) and water storage (stored/not stored). We compared the sample size needed to reach 80% power for detecting statistically significant differences between these groups. Power was calculated using a bootstrap-based algorithm. Compared to continuous measures, categorizing E. coli concentrations required 10–90% larger sample sizes in treatment models and about 10% in storage models, except in regions with good water quality, where similar or lower sample sizes were sufficient. Our findings indicate that low-precision methods can reliably infer associations between water practices and water quality but often require larger sample sizes, highlighting a trade-off between cost and statistical power in resource-limited settings.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: This document is the unedited Author’s version of a Submitted Work that was subsequently accepted for publication in ACS ES&T Water, copyright © 2025 The Authors. Published by American Chemical Society after peer review. To access the final edited and published work see https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestwater.4c01117
Keywords: statistical power, sample size, water quality, Escherichia coli, sampling, IDEXX, Colilert presence-absence, Petrifilm
SGUL Research Institute / Research Centre: Academic Structure > Infection and Immunity Research Institute (INII)
Journal or Publication Title: ACS ES&T WATER
ISSN: 2690-0637
Language: en
Publisher License: Publisher's own licence
URI: https://openaccess.sgul.ac.uk/id/eprint/117551
Publisher's version: https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestwater.4c01117

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