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Changing character and waning impact of COVID-19 at a tertiary centre in Cape Town, South Africa.

Hermans, LE; Booysen, P; Boloko, L; Adriaanse, M; de Wet, TJ; Lifson, AR; Wadee, N; Papavarnavas, N; Marais, G; Hsiao, N-Y; et al. Hermans, LE; Booysen, P; Boloko, L; Adriaanse, M; de Wet, TJ; Lifson, AR; Wadee, N; Papavarnavas, N; Marais, G; Hsiao, N-Y; Rosslee, M-J; Symons, G; Calligaro, GL; Iranzadeh, A; Wilkinson, RJ; Ntusi, NAB; Williamson, C; Davies, M-A; Meintjes, G; Wasserman, S (2023) Changing character and waning impact of COVID-19 at a tertiary centre in Cape Town, South Africa. S Afr J Infect Dis, 38 (1). p. 550. ISSN 2313-1810 https://doi.org/10.4102/sajid.v38i1.550
SGUL Authors: Wasserman, Sean Adam

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: The emergence of genetic variants of SARS-CoV-2 was associated with changing epidemiological characteristics throughout coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in population-based studies. Individual-level data on the clinical characteristics of infection with different SARS-CoV-2 variants in African countries is less well documented. OBJECTIVES: To describe the evolving clinical differences observed with the various SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern and compare the Omicron-driven wave in infections to the previous Delta-driven wave. METHOD: We performed a retrospective observational cohort study among patients admitted to a South African referral hospital with COVID-19 pneumonia. Patients were stratified by epidemiological wave period, and in a subset, the variants associated with each wave were confirmed by genomic sequencing. Outcomes were analysed by Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: We included 1689 patients were included, representing infection waves driven predominantly by ancestral, Beta, Delta and Omicron BA1/BA2 & BA4/BA5 variants. Crude 28-day mortality was 25.8% (34/133) in the Omicron wave period versus 37.1% (138/374) in the Delta wave period (hazard ratio [HR] 0.68 [95% CI 0.47-1.00] p = 0.049); this effect persisted after adjustment for age, gender, HIV status and presence of cardiovascular disease (adjusted HR [aHR] 0.43 [95% CI 0.28-0.67] p < 0.001). Hospital-wide SARS-CoV-2 admissions and deaths were highest during the Delta wave period, with a decoupling of SARS-CoV-2 deaths and overall deaths thereafter. CONCLUSION: There was lower in-hospital mortality during Omicron-driven waves compared with the prior Delta wave, despite patients admitted during the Omicron wave being at higher risk. CONTRIBUTION: This study summarises clinical characteristics associated with SARS-CoV-2 variants during the COVID-19 pandemic at a South African tertiary hospital, demonstrating a waning impact of COVID-19 on healthcare services over time despite epidemic waves driven by new variants. Findings suggest the absence of increasing virulence from later variants and protection from population and individual-level immunity.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Copyright: © 2023. The Authors. Licensee: AOSIS. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution License.
Keywords: COVID-19, Delta, Omicron, SARS-CoV-2, clinical characteristics, observational study, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Omicron, Delta, clinical characteristics, observational study
SGUL Research Institute / Research Centre: Academic Structure > Infection and Immunity Research Institute (INII)
Journal or Publication Title: S Afr J Infect Dis
ISSN: 2313-1810
Language: eng
Dates:
DateEvent
18 December 2023Published
27 October 2023Accepted
Publisher License: Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0
Projects:
Project IDFunderFunder ID
CC2112Cancer Research UKhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000289
U01 AI170426NIAID NIH HHSUNSPECIFIED
CC2112Wellcome Trusthttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100004440
K43 TW011421FIC NIH HHSUNSPECIFIED
U01 AI069924NIAID NIH HHSUNSPECIFIED
203135Wellcome Trusthttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100004440
222574Wellcome Trusthttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100004440
CC2112Medical Research Councilhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000265
101045989European UnionUNSPECIFIED
UNSPECIFIEDSouth African Medical Research Councilhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001322
UNSPECIFIEDDepartment of Science and InnovationUNSPECIFIED
101046051Horizon EuropeUNSPECIFIED
PubMed ID: 38223432
Web of Science ID: WOS:001157431500001
Go to PubMed abstract
URI: https://openaccess.sgul.ac.uk/id/eprint/116487
Publisher's version: https://doi.org/10.4102/sajid.v38i1.550

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