Hermans, LE;
Booysen, P;
Boloko, L;
Adriaanse, M;
de Wet, TJ;
Lifson, AR;
Wadee, N;
Papavarnavas, N;
Marais, G;
Hsiao, N-Y;
et al.
Hermans, LE; Booysen, P; Boloko, L; Adriaanse, M; de Wet, TJ; Lifson, AR; Wadee, N; Papavarnavas, N; Marais, G; Hsiao, N-Y; Rosslee, M-J; Symons, G; Calligaro, GL; Iranzadeh, A; Wilkinson, RJ; Ntusi, NAB; Williamson, C; Davies, M-A; Meintjes, G; Wasserman, S
(2023)
Changing character and waning impact of COVID-19 at a tertiary centre in Cape Town, South Africa.
S Afr J Infect Dis, 38 (1).
p. 550.
ISSN 2313-1810
https://doi.org/10.4102/sajid.v38i1.550
SGUL Authors: Wasserman, Sean Adam
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The emergence of genetic variants of SARS-CoV-2 was associated with changing epidemiological characteristics throughout coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in population-based studies. Individual-level data on the clinical characteristics of infection with different SARS-CoV-2 variants in African countries is less well documented. OBJECTIVES: To describe the evolving clinical differences observed with the various SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern and compare the Omicron-driven wave in infections to the previous Delta-driven wave. METHOD: We performed a retrospective observational cohort study among patients admitted to a South African referral hospital with COVID-19 pneumonia. Patients were stratified by epidemiological wave period, and in a subset, the variants associated with each wave were confirmed by genomic sequencing. Outcomes were analysed by Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: We included 1689 patients were included, representing infection waves driven predominantly by ancestral, Beta, Delta and Omicron BA1/BA2 & BA4/BA5 variants. Crude 28-day mortality was 25.8% (34/133) in the Omicron wave period versus 37.1% (138/374) in the Delta wave period (hazard ratio [HR] 0.68 [95% CI 0.47-1.00] p = 0.049); this effect persisted after adjustment for age, gender, HIV status and presence of cardiovascular disease (adjusted HR [aHR] 0.43 [95% CI 0.28-0.67] p < 0.001). Hospital-wide SARS-CoV-2 admissions and deaths were highest during the Delta wave period, with a decoupling of SARS-CoV-2 deaths and overall deaths thereafter. CONCLUSION: There was lower in-hospital mortality during Omicron-driven waves compared with the prior Delta wave, despite patients admitted during the Omicron wave being at higher risk. CONTRIBUTION: This study summarises clinical characteristics associated with SARS-CoV-2 variants during the COVID-19 pandemic at a South African tertiary hospital, demonstrating a waning impact of COVID-19 on healthcare services over time despite epidemic waves driven by new variants. Findings suggest the absence of increasing virulence from later variants and protection from population and individual-level immunity.
Item Type: |
Article
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Additional Information: |
Copyright: © 2023. The Authors. Licensee: AOSIS. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution License. |
Keywords: |
COVID-19, Delta, Omicron, SARS-CoV-2, clinical characteristics, observational study, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Omicron, Delta, clinical characteristics, observational study |
SGUL Research Institute / Research Centre: |
Academic Structure > Infection and Immunity Research Institute (INII) |
Journal or Publication Title: |
S Afr J Infect Dis |
ISSN: |
2313-1810 |
Language: |
eng |
Dates: |
Date | Event |
---|
18 December 2023 | Published | 27 October 2023 | Accepted |
|
Publisher License: |
Creative Commons: Attribution 4.0 |
Projects: |
|
PubMed ID: |
38223432 |
Web of Science ID: |
WOS:001157431500001 |
|
Go to PubMed abstract |
URI: |
https://openaccess.sgul.ac.uk/id/eprint/116487 |
Publisher's version: |
https://doi.org/10.4102/sajid.v38i1.550 |
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