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Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing

Sedgwick, PM; Hammer, A; Kesmodel, US; Pedersen, LH (2022) Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing. Acta Obstetricia et Gynecologica Scandinavica, 101 (6). pp. 624-627. ISSN 0001-6349 https://doi.org/10.1111/aogs.14366
SGUL Authors: Sedgwick, Philip Martin

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Abstract

Traditional null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) incorporating the critical level of significance of 0.05 has become the cornerstone of decision-making in health care, and nowhere less so than in obstetric and gynecological research. However, such practice is controversial. In particular, it was never intended for clinical significance to be inferred from statistical significance. The inference of clinical importance based on statistical significance (p < 0.05), and lack of clinical significance otherwise (p ≥ 0.05) represents misunderstanding of the original purpose of NHST. Furthermore, the limitations of NHST—sensitivity to sample size, plus type I and II errors—are frequently ignored. Therefore, decision-making based on NHST has the potential for recurrent false claims about the effectiveness of interventions or importance of exposure to risk factors, or dismissal of important ones. This commentary presents the history behind NHST along with the limitations that modern-day NHST presents, and suggests that a statistics reform regarding NHST be considered.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: © 2022 The Authors. Acta Obstetricia et Gynecologica Scandinavica published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Nordic Federation of Societies of Obstetrics and Gynecology (NFOG). This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes.
Keywords: 1114 Paediatrics and Reproductive Medicine, 1117 Public Health and Health Services, Obstetrics & Reproductive Medicine
SGUL Research Institute / Research Centre: Academic Structure > Institute of Medical & Biomedical Education (IMBE)
Academic Structure > Institute of Medical & Biomedical Education (IMBE) > Centre for Clinical Education (INMECE )
Journal or Publication Title: Acta Obstetricia et Gynecologica Scandinavica
ISSN: 0001-6349
Language: en
Dates:
DateEvent
27 May 2022Published
22 April 2022Published Online
3 April 2022Accepted
Publisher License: Creative Commons: Attribution-Noncommercial 4.0
URI: https://openaccess.sgul.ac.uk/id/eprint/114304
Publisher's version: https://doi.org/10.1111/aogs.14366

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