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Prediction of stillbirth: an umbrella review of evaluation of prognostic variables.

Townsend, R; Sileo, FG; Allotey, J; Dodds, J; Heazell, A; Jorgensen, L; Kim, VB; Magee, L; Mol, B; Sandall, J; et al. Townsend, R; Sileo, FG; Allotey, J; Dodds, J; Heazell, A; Jorgensen, L; Kim, VB; Magee, L; Mol, B; Sandall, J; Smith, G; Thilaganathan, B; von Dadelszen, P; Thangaratinam, S; Khalil, A (2021) Prediction of stillbirth: an umbrella review of evaluation of prognostic variables. BJOG, 128 (2). pp. 238-250. ISSN 1471-0528 https://doi.org/10.1111/1471-0528.16510
SGUL Authors: Khalil, Asma

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Stillbirth accounts for over 2 million deaths a year worldwide, and rates remains stubbornly high. Multivariable prediction models may be key to individualised monitoring, intervention or early birth in pregnancy to prevent stillbirth. OBJECTIVES: To collate and evaluate systematic reviews of factors associated with stillbirth in order to identify variables relevant to prediction model development. SEARCH STRATEGY: Medline, Embase, DARE and Cochrane Library databases and reference lists were searched up to November 2019. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included systematic reviews of association of individual variables with stillbirth without language restriction. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Abstract screening and data extraction were conducted in duplicate. Methodological quality was assessed using AMSTAR and QUIPS criteria. The evidence supporting association with each variable was graded. RESULTS: The search identified 1198 citations. 69 systematic reviews reporting 64 variables were included. The most frequently reported were maternal age (n=5), BMI (n=6) and maternal diabetes (n=5). Uterine artery Doppler appeared to have the best performance of any single test for stillbirth. The strongest evidence of association was for nulliparity and pre-existing hypertension. CONCLUSION: We have identified variables relevant to the development of prediction models for stillbirth. Age, parity and prior adverse pregnancy outcomes had a more convincing association than the best performing tests which were PAPP-A, PlGF and UtAD. The evidence was limited by high heterogeneity and lack of data on intervention bias.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Townsend, R, Sileo, FG, Allotey, J, Dodds, J, Heazell, A, Jorgensen, L, Kim, VB, Magee, L, Mol, B, Sandall, J, Smith, GCS, Thilaganathan, B, von Dadelszen, P, Thangaratinam, S, Khalil, A. Prediction of stillbirth: an umbrella review of evaluation of prognostic variables. BJOG: Int J Obstet Gy. 2021; 128: 238– 250, which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1111/1471-0528.16510. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions.
Keywords: Systematic reviews, epidemiology: perinatal, fetal medicine: perinatal diagnosis, fetal medicine: serum screening, ultrasound, Obstetrics & Reproductive Medicine, 11 Medical and Health Sciences
SGUL Research Institute / Research Centre: Academic Structure > Molecular and Clinical Sciences Research Institute (MCS)
Journal or Publication Title: BJOG
ISSN: 1471-0528
Language: eng
Dates:
DateEvent
3 January 2021Published
13 October 2020Published Online
17 August 2020Accepted
Publisher License: Publisher's own licence
PubMed ID: 32931648
Go to PubMed abstract
URI: https://openaccess.sgul.ac.uk/id/eprint/112433
Publisher's version: https://doi.org/10.1111/1471-0528.16510

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